2011 was an interesting and eventful year (probably like any other). For the Indian equity markets, it was full of fears that was imported from first US and then Europe. This year started with the Sensex at 20509 and Nifty at 6134. It closed the year at 15455 and 4624 respectively. This amounted to a decline of 24.6% on the Sensex. Along with the general market, my portfolio also fell. For the whole year, the portfolio was down 15.19%. That is a substantial percentage. The fall was especially vicious during the last couple of months. When I look back, the portfolio was generating positive returns till the end of October and then fell off sharply. This is because the only stocks I hold are mid and small caps and they have been beaten down in the current environment of extreme uncertainty with respect to the currency depreciation and Eurozone problems.
Although, I do not expect a great turn around in 2012, I would continue to deploy most of my savings to stocks. This is primarily because I am more convinced about the future of businesses to generate above inflation returns than any other form of investment I am aware of. With the market fall, stocks (specially the small and mid-cap variety) are available at good valuations for someone with a reasonably long time horizon. I am not very concerned about short term currency fluctuations and other issues. I don't expect basic business demand & supply to alter based on macro economic concerns, and good and resilient businesses should be able to weather the storm.
Serial
#
|
Name of Company
|
%
of Portfolio (Dec'11)
|
%
of Portfolio (Jan'11)
|
Since
Jan'11
|
Comments
|
1
|
Astral Poly
|
4.94%
|
0.00%
|
New
|
Accumulate
|
2
|
Balaji Amines
|
5.19%
|
8.34%
|
Down
|
Hold
|
3
|
Balkrishna Industries
|
4.49%
|
3.59%
|
Down
|
Accumulate
|
4
|
Cravatex
|
4.22%
|
0.00%
|
New
|
Hold
|
5
|
Elecon Engg
|
2.43%
|
0.00%
|
New
|
Accumulate
|
6
|
GEI Industrial
|
3.77%
|
0.00%
|
New
|
Accumulate
|
7
|
JK Lakshmi Cement
|
2.38%
|
3.32%
|
Down
|
Accumulate very slowly
|
8
|
Lloyd Electric
|
1.67%
|
5.03%
|
Down
|
Hold
|
9
|
Manjushree Tech
|
3.70%
|
0.00%
|
New
|
Hold
|
10
|
Mayur Uniquoters
|
10.44%
|
5.29%
|
Up
|
Accumulate aggressively on every dip
|
11
|
Opto Circuits
|
6.05%
|
8.32%
|
Down
|
Hold
|
12
|
PI Industries
|
6.51%
|
0.00%
|
New
|
Accumulate
|
13
|
Poly Medicure
|
1.34%
|
0.00%
|
New
|
Hold
|
14
|
Shriram TransFi
|
7.37%
|
10.90%
|
Down
|
Accumulate aggresively on every dip
|
15
|
Sintex
|
4.02%
|
9.97%
|
Down
|
Accumulate aggresively on every dip
|
16
|
Supreme
|
16.86%
|
20.65%
|
Down
|
Hold
|
17
|
Titan Industries
|
4.36%
|
0.00%
|
New
|
Accumulate very slowly
|
18
|
Yes Bank
|
6.86%
|
5.88%
|
Up
|
Accumulate
|
19
|
Cash
|
3.21%
|
0.09%
|
Up
|
|
20
|
Nifty Put Option
|
0.19%
|
0.00%
|
New
|
Hi Abhishek,
ReplyDeleteI regularly follow your blog.. thanks for wonderful analysis.
It might be great if you can put your average price as well in your portfolios. For passive passive investors [the 'SIP guys' :)]) like me, it may be useful info.
Personally, I think, it is important to build your own conviction when investing in stocks. That comes from studying the companies you are investing in and keeping yourself abreast of any new developments. Putting my average buying price, will only add to the noise in the system!
DeleteCan you buy or sell at that price? What is the guarantee that I have bought at the right price? Our investment objectives and time horizons maybe different, so we may react differently to different market circumstances.
The only reason I have this page on my blog is as a disclaimer that I typically write about stocks which I have stakes in. For example, I had mentioned that Sintex was a buy at 50-55 levels. I bought back more than my original quantity at 52.